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George Skinner's avatar

Funny how people only see what they want to see. Rural areas didn't have the number of seed cases that led to horrible outbreaks in New York and Italy, and the resulting paucity of cases convinced them that all of the mitigations were tyrannical overreach in service of a great hoax. Alberta decided to aggressively re-open based on a favorable interpretation of data on the Delta outbreak in the UK, neglecting differences in vaccination rate, prior infections, and other mitigations in place. There are fair arguments to be made regarding risk tolerance, and there's a lot of people and commentators who I feel go way too far in terms of trying to minimize risk (the whole COVID zero crowd, for example.) Still, it seems like the other side of the equation is often based on an ignorance of the risk rather than an acceptance of the risk.

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Richard's avatar

Ms. Gerson, I wonder if you would consider a future column addressing another element of Alberta's crisis: a sore lack of ICU capacity. Alberta has about half the population of New York City, and Alberta has about 286 ICU beds. Two hundred of those beds now have Covid patients in them.

Before the pandemic New York City had about 1600 ICU beds, which it increased to 3500 almost immediately. At peak pandemic (April 2020), about 3200 Covid patients in New York were in the ICU. On a per capita basis, that's roughly eight times the number of Covid patients currently in Alberta ICUs.

To me it seems odd that we're talking about Covid's pressure on the health care system entirely in terms of the demand side, i.e. how many sick people there are, and ignoring the supply side. The conversation presumes that the ICU capacity of the province was handed down on stone tablets from God. Maybe Alberta needs to accept that it will permanently need to increase the number of ICU beds (and increase taxes) to deal with endemic Covid.

My understanding is that this lack of ICU capacity is a Canada-wide problem.

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