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Capital Traffic Czar's avatar

All hope and very little substance. This is good for the people on the ground who need this sort of pick me up, but doesn’t do much for people away from the front line who are trying to make sense of this. Couching the conflict in good vs evil is too simple. Putin is not an irrational actor and no amount of repeating that over and over on social media is going to change that geopolitical fact. The piece is good, I’ve been following her Twitter from Ukraine, but a scroll through her feed is proof enough this piece is off the mark of the reality of what is happening on the ground.

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Tony F.'s avatar

Good article. There are multiple venues for conflict: military, economic, communicaition and, before the conflict began, it seemed many pundits predicted that Russia had its bets covered on all three. It had a more powerful army. It surely anticipated the sanctions and had countermeasures. And, we've heard over and over how brilliantly they use channels -- new and old -- for propoganda and disinformation.

But, its military -- particularly it's logistics -- seem to be much less capable than anticipated and Ukraine seemed underestimated. It seems that the sanctions bit a lot harder than Putin expected and while they will also hurt us, Russia is running out of time in Ukraine. And, Ukraine proved to play the propoganda and communication game much, much better than I think anyone anticipated. They own the narrative just about everywhere except in Russia. Certainly, Biden's telegraphing exactly what Russia was going to do helped, but Ukraine is proving to be masterful as telling a good story, which is playing a significant role in capturing world attention and earning a LOT more international support than they would have otherwise.

Mike Tyson was once asked by a reporter about his fight plan with an upcoming opponent. His answer? "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.” Russia had a plan, got punched in the mouth, and has been floundering ever since. The expectation they set -- around the world -- was that they would walk in and install a government prostrate to Russia. They have not. Even if a peace plan includes disputed regions and a roll back of sanctions -- pretty significant wins -- they have not lived up to the expectations they set and will be seen as the loser of the war they started.

Humans are natural storytellers -- we like a compelling narrative. Ukraine has one. Russia does not.

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