This week on On The Line, Matt Gurney is joined by Clayton Campbell, president of the Toronto Police Association, for a frank conversation about the state of law and order in Canada’s biggest city — and beyond.
Enjoyed the interview, very articulate guest from the TPA. Matt, your ER story sounds the same as our city ER. Regarding the firearms confiscation - if there was a Nobel Prize equivalent for government waste and political pandering, the Liberals would have won by a long shot (no pun intended..).
The whole gun confiscation initiative is starting to sound like the Covid exercise. The totalitarian no compromise approach used during. COVID is certainly what the shrill harridans of the Montreal hoplophobe movement desire. The Ottawa technocrats will then come up with processes to be carried out by “minimum wage plus a bit” currently unemployed youth (which I believe Nova Scotia/Cape Breton) has an ample supply of). They will be provided with black clothing and impressive IDs and badges but if course no self defence tools.
What I remember of the Covid exercise was cowardly civil servants setting up rules and procedures to be enforced by store clerks and restaurant waitresses hiding behind plexiglas because they were spit on and threatened. I dread the thought of gun seizures implemented by unemployed youth and desperate family people and wonder how many of these will have to die before the libs run out of hands to wring and crocodile tears to shed and go back to waiting until the last gun owner dies. And there is no way that Canadian police, who seem generally to have high moral values, signed up for seizing people’s property and leaving them at the mercy of the many criminals and drug addicts who will prey on them even more than they do now.
A few weeks ago I referred to the study showing that 63% of violent crime is committed by 1 % of the population and I tracked it down. Here is the link:
About one quarter of all those who were ever convicted of a violent crime (i.e., the offender group), corresponding to the most persistently violent 1 % of the study population, were responsible for a total of 63 % of all violent crime convictions in the country, while almost three quarters of all violent offenders, corresponding to 2.9 % of the population, were convicted only once or twice during the study period. This is in line with previous research that shows a small group of criminally active young adult men to be responsible for a large part of all violent crimes [3, 4, 33] and the high impact of a very small group of especially violent individuals indicated by the high reconviction rates among former prison detainees [8]. The numbers (and relative proportions) of violent convictions that theoretically could be prevented if individuals were stopped from committing further crimes at specific stages of relapsing into violence may be used to plan preventive strategies against violent crime (Table 2). If all violent crime careers could come to a stop after a third conviction (which would require interventions directed at 1 % of the total population), more than 50 % of all convictions for violent crime in the total population would be prevented.
That last sentence is a great argument for "three (violent) strikes and you're out". I am a big "incentives matter" guy but incentives obviously do NOT matter to the 1% who are "bad seeds" and will never change. The only answer is to get those dudes off the street FOREVER.
Enjoyed the interview, very articulate guest from the TPA. Matt, your ER story sounds the same as our city ER. Regarding the firearms confiscation - if there was a Nobel Prize equivalent for government waste and political pandering, the Liberals would have won by a long shot (no pun intended..).
Even ‘thirteen strikes and you’re out’ would be a huge improvement.
The "Liberals" are very smart at stupid destruction.
Clayton Ruby?! (Your intro oops).
I caught that too!
The whole gun confiscation initiative is starting to sound like the Covid exercise. The totalitarian no compromise approach used during. COVID is certainly what the shrill harridans of the Montreal hoplophobe movement desire. The Ottawa technocrats will then come up with processes to be carried out by “minimum wage plus a bit” currently unemployed youth (which I believe Nova Scotia/Cape Breton) has an ample supply of). They will be provided with black clothing and impressive IDs and badges but if course no self defence tools.
What I remember of the Covid exercise was cowardly civil servants setting up rules and procedures to be enforced by store clerks and restaurant waitresses hiding behind plexiglas because they were spit on and threatened. I dread the thought of gun seizures implemented by unemployed youth and desperate family people and wonder how many of these will have to die before the libs run out of hands to wring and crocodile tears to shed and go back to waiting until the last gun owner dies. And there is no way that Canadian police, who seem generally to have high moral values, signed up for seizing people’s property and leaving them at the mercy of the many criminals and drug addicts who will prey on them even more than they do now.
Impressive guest.
A few weeks ago I referred to the study showing that 63% of violent crime is committed by 1 % of the population and I tracked it down. Here is the link:
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3969807/
And here is the key passage:
About one quarter of all those who were ever convicted of a violent crime (i.e., the offender group), corresponding to the most persistently violent 1 % of the study population, were responsible for a total of 63 % of all violent crime convictions in the country, while almost three quarters of all violent offenders, corresponding to 2.9 % of the population, were convicted only once or twice during the study period. This is in line with previous research that shows a small group of criminally active young adult men to be responsible for a large part of all violent crimes [3, 4, 33] and the high impact of a very small group of especially violent individuals indicated by the high reconviction rates among former prison detainees [8]. The numbers (and relative proportions) of violent convictions that theoretically could be prevented if individuals were stopped from committing further crimes at specific stages of relapsing into violence may be used to plan preventive strategies against violent crime (Table 2). If all violent crime careers could come to a stop after a third conviction (which would require interventions directed at 1 % of the total population), more than 50 % of all convictions for violent crime in the total population would be prevented.
That last sentence is a great argument for "three (violent) strikes and you're out". I am a big "incentives matter" guy but incentives obviously do NOT matter to the 1% who are "bad seeds" and will never change. The only answer is to get those dudes off the street FOREVER.