21 Comments
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Shastri Mel's avatar

I'm really worried. Many MSM journalists on social media are celebrating the withdrawal of tariffs as Trump blinked first. If that's what they take away from all the chaos, then God help this country.

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B–'s avatar

Some friends of mine are proudly proclaiming "we won!" There are no winners here, only losers. And a 30-day reprieve is not a win of any sort.

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Clay Eddy Arbuckle's avatar

Media or governments never mention our border on the BC coast. Tanker traffic unloading thousands of SeaCans a day. 1 in 20 might be looked at. Then there is the tanker traffic in Quebec,we know our stolen vehicles are leaving there. The US is also very concerned with our lax vetting with asylum seekers,student visa and immigration levels. 250,000 undocumented with no plan for deportation. Even when some commit a crime they receive appeals to avoid deportation. If they are not full Canadian citizens why are they covered under our constitution? Claiming asylum after landing here on a student visa should be an immediate deportation,you lied.

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Brian Huff's avatar

Great job, great guests and relevant, in depth analysis of current happenings that’s easy to understand. Was kind of expecting the usual jingle in the opening music but it works lol. Great work guys! Enjoyed it!

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Pat's avatar

The latest Mainstreet polling means, Trudeau got exactly what he was looking for, he provoked a fight with Trump instead of being diplomatic and Central Canadians are dumb enough to fall for it!

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Ken Laloge's avatar

People may feel differently in 30 days, when little has fundamentally changed and the LPC still need a week to finish folding their laundry.

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Andy Bruinewoud's avatar

I'm sure Trudeau is even more livid with his caucus now than at his resignation speech. "See? If they had just waited one more month, we're back on top again. Ingrates!"

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Milo Hrnić's avatar

There is no interprovincial free trade as long as Quebec has influence in Ottawa. Listening to Stephen Gordon uming and awing when asked about Energy East speaks for itself.

The amount of payoff that Quebec will demand in lieu of provincial protections will break the federation, with Alberta just having another reason to go into the arms of the Americans.

That said, it's been shown the Trump Administration isn't bright enough to really hit Canada where it would splinter, and that is playing the provinces off against each other.

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George Hariton's avatar

Stock markets were falling sharply before markets opened on Monday. Right after Trump paused tariffs for Mexico, stocks stabilized and then recovered most of the losses.

We know that Trump watches the stock markets closely and uses their results as a scorecard. Anything that spooks investors will have a big impact on his thinking. We won't have to wait for consumers or businesses to let Trump know that they are unhappy. He will know very quickly. We have a hidden ally.

I suspect that, on Monday morning, Trump suddenly found himself on the weak end of the dispute. He had to save face, and Sheinbaum showed him how to do so. Then Trudeau copied Sheinbaum's example. Trump was able to declare victory, while Mexico and Canada made no substantive concessions. Perfect.

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Ross Huntley's avatar

Read the fine print! The trade war is all about irregular immigration and drugs. Trump ran on it and it benefits him to make a splash in the media. With Mexico putting soldiers on the border and Canada throwing $1B into the border, Trump puts "paid" on his commitments to his base. Mexico didn't build the border wall but they did put up 10,000 troops. Newsmax explained it well but this is still the short game.

The long game is about free trade and trade imbalances. China is the long term target and this round simply primed Mexico and Canada to start working.

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Chris Engelman's avatar

Really enjoyed this! To your esteemed guest P.J. Fournier, Jim Prentice called an early election and got smoked. It wasn’t the only reason, but it factored for sure.

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Agent M's avatar

First response: not a fan of the opening music.

Second response: excellent guests.

Third response: Metis advertising was interesting, given that Trudeau has chipped away most of our national mythology over the years, is this an attempt to replace that mythology with some new/old stories or am I overthinking it?

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Mike Bird's avatar

Two-for-one...awesome! Two great guests. P.J.'s semi-regular insights would be a cool feature of some facet of The Line. Well, I know he's active elsewhere. It was just nice having him on!

A positive about recent events is that it got Stephen on early in this series. I appreciate that he balanced short- and long-term perspectives on the issue. The sky won't fall and the US has some level of dependence on Canada, but we also need to act now and recognize that longer term the US could shift away from us completely. Dovetails with the message of resilience you and Jen have channeled.

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Gregory Murray's avatar

Non tariff measure. Suspend participation in NORAD. Cancel F35 (Replace with European Fughter). Shut Welland Canal to US flagged shipping.

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Ryan and Jen's avatar

I'm hard pressed to imagine how any one of these measures hurts the Americans more than it hurts us. I'm aware (and accepting) that there is going to be some pain when it comes to getting this mess sorted out. Consider it penance for not doing the thing when we had the opportunity and instead waiting until we were forced. That being said, cutting off our nose to spite our face only serves to weaken us further and make it easier for the Americans to get the country at a fire sale.

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Gregory Murray's avatar

Also sorry for the delay in replying.

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Gregory Murray's avatar

The F35 would not actually hurt us. There are several excellent alternatives. With the Welland Canal. There would be some loss of fees, but they can be made up. Alternatively we could leave it open but massively increase fees. One thing to remember is that one of yards bulding ships for for the USN is on the lakes.

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Andrew Gorman's avatar

I find it funny that the advertisement at the beginning of the show is from the motion picture Association of Canada because one of my thoughts for “asshole nation” is that we all become a nation of media pirates. Cancel those Disney+ and Netflix subscriptions and go back to torrents and the pirate Bay.

Sure Netflix is more convenient, but you can simply ignore that email from the ISP.

If we wanted to push it farther legally, Parliament could shorten copyright terms radically. Five years max? Or abolish it.

Copyright seems to favour rich American companies over poor Canadians, so what’s in it for us?

Is the concept of “copyright” an outdated legal fiction that no longer serves the Canadian good?

If everything is on the table, this should be too.

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J. Toogood's avatar

Interesting to hear that Matt hasn't noticed any difference in the anecdotal buzz. In my downtown Toronto coffee shop, where people had uncharacteristically decided Trudeau had to go, they're back to assuming there will be a Liberal majority and speculating about whether the Conservatives will be destroyed just for a generation or altogether.

Mind you, this is what they think pretty near all the time, including before comfortable Conservative election wins. But it's a change from a few weeks ago.

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Ryan and Jen's avatar

Man, that must be good coffee. I want what they're drinking :p

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NotoriousSceptic's avatar

This time a good choice for the advertisers.

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